Silicon Valley's job market remained stagnant in July, with
76,900 Santa Clara County residents, or 7.6 percent of the
workforce, out of work.
The county's unemployment rate was down slightly from a revised
7.8 percent in June, but it was still substantially higher than the
national average, which was a seasonally adjusted 5.9 percent in
July. For almost all of 2002, the local unemployment rate has
hovered at levels higher than at any time since 1983.
``We're kind of stuck here for a while, and if we start coming
out of it, it's going to be a crawl,'' said Richard Carlson, an
economist and partner at Spectrum Economics.
Statewide, the unemployment rate dipped slightly to 6.3 percent
in July from a revised 6.5 percent in June. The state added 7,500
jobs.
Santa Clara County had a net loss of 4,400 jobs from June to
July, largely due to seasonal cutbacks in school staffing.
One bright spot was a gain of 600 jobs in business services, the
category that includes temporary employment agencies. It was the
fifth month in a row of gains in that area. Experts say that
increases in temporary hiring can signal that the overall job market
is set to improve.
``I'm pleased to see that continuing to show increases of any
magnitude,'' said Ruth Kavanagh, a labor market consultant with the
Employment Development Department who focuses on Santa Clara
County.
So far, though, the increases have been not translated into
significant improvements in the overall job market.
Priscilla Azcueta, vice president of professional services for
Manpower Staffing Services in San Jose, said her company is seeing
increased hiring from some biotech and pharmaceutical companies, but
there have been no dramatic changes in overall demand.
``Right now things are just pretty much steady,'' Azcueta
said.
Experts said there are still few signs of a recovery in the
technology industry, which is critical to Silicon Valley's job
market.
``There's nothing on the horizon immediately that would say we
should be expecting a near-term turnaround in the tech sector,''
said Sean Randolph, president of the Bay Area Economic Forum.
``Certainly there are better expectations and more hope for
2003.''
The experiences of local job hunters reflect this.
``The improvement is very slow,'' said Nalini Jensen of
Cupertino, who has been looking for a Web development job for about
six months. She has had some interviews, but so far none have turned
into jobs. ``People are still waiting to see if the economy is going
to pick up.''
Patti
Wilson, principal and founder of The Career
Co., said many
of the people who are finding new jobs are looking outside the
technology industry.
``That's the awful awareness that's dawned on people: that this
isn't going to go away for a long time, that we might have to do
something else,'' Wilson said.